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The best face you can put on it is he didn't actually read the papers and just went with what the popular articles said about it. But every time I've gotten from one of Guy's statements to the actual paper it's always been like this...
And, it hasn't been just a couple of years considering the data that Thoreau collected. As noted in the article I posted:QuoteOver the 155 intervening years, the average temperature in Concord increased by 2.4C, they estimate.
It has been shown recently (11) that the mean annual temperature in the Concord area has risen by 2.4 °C over the past ≈100 years and that this temperature change is associated with shifts in flowering time: species are now flowering an average of 7 days earlier than in Thoreau’s time.
From 1852 through 2006, Concord warmed by 2.4°C due to global climate change and urbanization.
...and that average annual temperature values recorded in the greater Boston area since Thoreau’s time have grown steadily warmer, in part because of global warming and the urban-heat-island effect (2.4°C warming over 155 years, R2 = .57, p < .001; box 2; Miller-Rushing and Primack 2008).
Large urban areas, like metropolitan Boston, which includes Concord, can provide model locations to study the impacts of climate change. Whereas global temperatures have increased by around 0.7 degrees Celsius (°C) over the past 100 years, many cities have warmed more than that because of the urban-heat-island effect (Arnfield 2003). Buildings, paved roads, sidewalks, and parking lots absorb heat during the day and release that heat during the night, creating a much warmer environment than the surrounding countryside. Boston and Concord have warmed over 2°C since the time of Thoreau, with about two-thirds of this increase probably caused by the urban-heat-island effect (figure 3; Miller-Rushing and Primack 2008). As a consequence, we can expect to see more effects of climate change in places like Boston than in nonurban areas. Furthermore, the warming temperatures that places like Boston have experienced in recent decades are similar to the amount of warming forecast for more rural areas in the coming century (Hayhoe et al. 2007). Therefore, urban areas may provide reasonable model systems to examine some of the effects of climate change on plants and animals.
Not hard to guess that you were (day)trading fx on a short time frame.....Notoriously hard for mere mortals to make it in that racket.....It will seem like a much better Algo has been assigned just to counter you! And ironically it is often the very human emotions such as fear, greed that trip people up. So you may have a fighting chance. You who are able to look at yourself and be honest, how long have you been at it? made much money? Anyway, good luck....